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I Am the Way, the Truth, and the Light

June 12th, 2010 Daniel No comments

I am the admin that I am. Well, enough of the biblical paraphrasing. The bottom line is this — this site is still alive and I am resurrecting it. For those having stopped by in 2010, you may have noticed no new content, no changes, and no signs of life behind this domain. There have been external difficulties for me and my family as of late, but as that water starts to flow under the bridge, I plan to come back stronger than ever and really make this site what I had envisioned it early on. More forecasts, more tips, more stuff to help other traders who are like myself – trying to make something out of almost nothing. I hope to share much and have much shared with me. Welcome back, to me and you.

Daniel

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Looking for a New Direction

September 13th, 2009 Daniel No comments

I can state without a doubt in my mind, forex trading is very challenging. I’ve had some huge challenges to meet in life, but trading successfully is up there with the most difficult.  The funniest thing is that I figured out a long time ago the ‘what’ of trading. The ‘how’ part is where I’m still struggling. The mental challenges, specifically taking losses and controlling greed are things I still deal with.

So, what happened to the blog though? I’m still here. I haven’t died or been critically maimed. I just decided to break for a bit and concentrate on being great at one thing, instead of mediocre at many things. With that in mind, I was trading quite a bit and did okay, until one evening when I over-levered and took a big hit on a loss I didn’t want to take. So yes, big mistake! I’m okay with it, but then decided to take a break to make sure I could dedicate the time and effort I really needed to make things work. So that is still where I am. I intend to get back to the blog and site, trading, and other things almost immediately. The key is my schedule. With a family, full time job, and other responsibilities it is a big effort to make time, but that is my intention. I’m hungry and there is no stopping this once I get rolling.

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Day Off, Sort of

July 22nd, 2009 Daniel No comments

I’ve done some analysis this evening, but have chosen not to post it. I intend to only take a few short term trades at most. I will post them on Twitter as usual. I have done a bit of work on trying to make this site more than a blog and for that reason I really don’t have the time today to roll out another good analysis. On top of that, I haven’t been profiting from my own charts, mainly because of misplaced stops. Last night, I missed by seven pips and got stopped right before it took off a 100 pips and then was 3 pips shy of my original target. So I want to make sure I’m getting everything right as I absolutely do not want to mislead anyone. It has been said that 95% of forex traders fail. I want to be in the 5% and I am really close. I also want my readers to succeed as much, if not more than I. So the next day and maybe until the end of the week, I want to work on making that a reality. In the meantime, drop me a note if you like.

Good trading!

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Expecting Analysis?

July 21st, 2009 Daniel No comments

I hope to do some analysis today, but will not have the time until at least a couple hours after 1200AM GMT. That is later than I would like, but that is what I am left with because of my schedule. I am also thinking of taking a day off as well, so I might not post again until tomorrow. The last 24 hours have been frustrating and I need to make sure my mind is right before I even think of trading. Sometimes the best trade is no trade at all. This also goes for those frustrating times that we all have trading. I haven’t taken much in the way of losses, very minimal, but the opportunities haven’t gone my way either. I missed the move of the Euro last night by only a few minutes, meaning I basically got stopped out, just before the short correction turned back into the long I was waiting for. My stop wasn’t set right, so that is my fault, but nonetheless I wasn’t happy about it. So to avoid being emotional, I will re-evaluate things later today and if I’m calm and cool, will do some analysis and get ready for the setup. If I don’t have time, or am not in a good mood, I just won’t trade. It’s really simple right? Well hopefully it is. At the very least I’ll be back tomorrow to get ready for the next day. I’m not sure what fundamentals there are in the next day other than Bernanke continuing to speak to Congress, but that in itself gives me plenty of reason to be cautious and sit aside.

As a note, if you do stop by and really want me to do analysis regardless of whether I plan to trade, please drop a comment. If I get enough feedback, I WILL make sure to get that out there for my readers.

Good Trading!

Categories: Forex, Site News Tags:

Current project

July 11th, 2009 Daniel No comments

My current project, for today at least, is analyzing a few forex trades I have taken in the last couple of weeks. I’ve been travelling a bit lately so my time has been taken up with that and trying to get some rest afterwards, as well as my usual 40 hour week. I’ve had no new material to post though and I’ve been studying price action with all of my spare time too. It’s almost time for my return to forex, which I’m excited about, but at the same time not as confident as I would like to be. I think I’m ready, but it’s always a challenge to look at things objectively too. So my main goal today is to see what trades I have taken on the demo and make sure that my strategy is working and that I have made good calls. When I am done, I’ll post my charts and my analysis for all to see. Then in the next couple of days, I should be able to post some analysis for others. Real time trades will be available on Twitter as I enter or exit. Right now the focus would be on the Euro, but I would like to get back into the Cable and the EUR/JPY too. For now, one thing at a time. I’ll be checking back in soon.

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Where the Heck Have I Been

July 1st, 2009 Daniel No comments

It’s been a nice vacation for me, but it isn’t quite over. Lately I’ve been spending hours and hours further studying price action, but not following the markets much. I’ve checked the S&P and the Dow, as well as crude and a smattering of forex pairs, but not much overall. I’m gearing up for my return to the forex markets. I started in stocks, but really began to hone my skills on forex. So as soon as I feel that I am ready again, I’ll start trading forex again. I’ll also be posting my analysis on trade setups and try to post live updates when I can. More likely, I’ll post the setups here and live trades on the Twitter page.

As for the next couple days though, I’m headed through the Alaskan wilderness back to civilization for a couple of days to the ‘big’ city. I plan to spend some more time with family, while the markets are quiet too, and have some fun and good food. Then, early next week it’s catch up time and back to the grind. Actually, I hope to back into the forex markets next week, but will have to take a look at some stock action as well. So in the meantime, check out previous posts, drop me a note, and check back in again next week for some new content.

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Weekend Status Update

June 21st, 2009 Daniel No comments

Well, I never really got it together this weekend. I thought about posting up some forex educational materials, mainly a re-hash of some stuff I have read in the last couple of weeks. I will still do this, just not this weekend. I also thought of doing some stock charting as well, but I really think the near term focus is going to be forex. When I first started trading, it was stocks that I was first exposed to.  What really got me going was forex though. My longer term strategy is a mixture of stocks, options, and forex and even in the short term I plan to at least cover stocks and forex together. For the moment though, I really just want to get a good strategy together for my forex trading and get back to that. I’ve been trying to overcome some fears I have had trading forex recently and a general lack of enthusiasm for trading at all. Until I have a plan together , though, I can’t make a move.

Really, the biggest reason for no analysis this weekend, is my twitter Iran addiction. I won’t say much on here as it’s not the right place, but it is a truly amazing movement in a truly modern way. It is in many ways a global revolution, which is also very amazing. I tried, but I just couldn’t keep my eyes off it. This revolution may not be televised, but it is being tweeted. One last thing, it is always important to remember that trading is not everything. Money isn’t everything. Some things are more important.

Good luck to all in their endeavors for freedom and prosperity. I’ll check back in on Monday.

Categories: Forex, Site News, Stocks Tags:

A Note of Encouragement

June 18th, 2009 Daniel 4 comments

In the about section just released yesterday I noted that this would not be a personal blog and with that in mind something else came into my head just this morning that sort of pushes that envelope a bit. Since this is my site, I guess I can bend the rules a little bit. Still, this is more investment advice than it is a life story. We can just call it a life lesson if you like.

One word of advice I have often heard in business and investments is that ‘business is never personal’. That may be true to some, but for a lot of us just trying to make a dollar out of fifteen cents can be personal sometimes. Trading is best accomplished with a clear head and no emotions because in reality it is just numbers and logic.

My number one rule when I started investing, which you’ll hear a lot out there, is to never risk money you can’t afford to lose. I followed this from my first stock purchase and continue to do so with every move that I make. I guess that is why I’m able to do so little trading these days. I have enough to be comfortable in life, but not enough to make any big steps forward. So I take little steps and do my best to insure that if I do take a loss, it won’t be the end of trading or much more. I could take this one step further by saying if you are risking any money in the markets, consider that money gone before you commit to a trade. Then if it turns a profit, you can be pleased about that, but if it is a loser then you have already dealt with that possibility. This should make it easier to handle if you get emotional. Also, it forces you to consider risk/reward before you enter a trade. If risk/reward isn’t right, why enter the trade in the first place?

Risk/Reward is an important concept to master, after all it’s just math. The more difficult part is mastering your own emotions. I haven’t found that factor to be as important in stock trading, though it is a part of it. Forex trading, though, has taught me a tremendous amount about myself emotionally. Really, the only reason I am convinced that I am cut out to be a forex trader is  because I absolutely refuse to give up. Quitting is just not in my psychological makeup. Yes, I’ve taken my losses, but the more I lost, the more I handled it with less emotion. I’ve been taking a break from trading currencies so that I can successfully and consistently trade. I did have successes trading forex, and in actuality had more successes than losses, at least in quantity. Percentage wise, the majority of my trades were successful. Unfortunately, for a bit I let leverage kill me. I also don’t have total control over my own emotions, which contributed to a couple costly meltdowns. So for a while I’m concentrating on becoming a better trader, in what I consider to be somewhat calmer waters of the stock market

When I started this post I was feeling a bit discouraged, but also inspired as well. Getting this site up and running has been quite a challenge, and even though there have been quite a few folks who have checked in I’ve been struggling with getting the word out without appearing to be a spammer. I absolutely am not a spammer! I am just a guy, trying to attract viewers and create sort of a community on this site where I can teach others what I have learned and also learn more about the markets from those who know more than I. And yes I have ads, but this does cost money to keep alive. It does take a lot of time. If no one wants to support this, that is okay. I will continue to contribute because I know that I have already profited from the lessons I’ve learned and will continue to do so.

Before I veer too wildy off the original intent of this post, I’ll simply end with the bottom line version of my philosophy. The bottom line is, don’t let anyone tell you what you can’t do and never give up. As investors, we’ll take losses sometimes. We’ll make calls that no one agrees with and actually be right sometimes. We simply have to stick to our plans. Find a strategy that suits you and works well and work that profit out like there’s no tomorrow. Keep going until you reach whatever goal it is that you are pursuing and always, always  stay positive.

Categories: Education, Forex, Site News, Stocks Tags:

Midday Check in

June 16th, 2009 Daniel No comments

I don’t have any charts this morning as I have been working long hours on getting this site up and running. Besides the layout and general web site work I’ve done, there’s also the RSS and email subscription services that can be signed up for on the upper right side bar. I just did a really quick look at Apple, Schlumberger, and the S&P and though I am glad I missed yesterday’s big down day, the price levels on those tickers is something of note(especially the S&P). Apple and the S&P are going to need to be re-charted at this point, but SLB looks right on target for now. I’ll check back in later with at least an update on the aforementioned sometime after close today or at least before open tomorrow.

Categories: Site News, Stocks Tags: , , ,

I’ve Moved

June 15th, 2009 Daniel No comments

Well, here is my humble web beginnings. I started out on blogpsot with a personal blog a couple years ago and didn’t do much with that. Very recently, I’ve added a new blog, which quickly became a focus of much of my time. Because of its success and the intent to make this a long term deal, I decided to stop ‘renting’ and ‘buy’ a home on the web. So I’m here to stay and this is where I can be found http://www.realtruefx.com

Over the next couple days I’ll get back down to the business of making money and hopefully helping others learn and make money. So, stop on by!

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